French President Emmanuel Macron In 2022, a poster for a political campaign was created.

Sebastien Salom-gomis | Afp | Getty Images

French President Emmanuel Macron’s failed snap election gamble is likely to take a large toll on his political ambitions and legacy, analysts say — and to weaken the power and influence he has sought to build in Europe In recent years, there has been a significant increase in the number of people who are using public transport.

The Final round of an instant parliamentary election France last weekend — called by Macron after his center-right party was trounced in recent European Parliament elections — led to a surprise win for the left-wing New Popular Front Alliance thwarts expected victory of the far-right National Rally party.

Center-right Macron, who will remain in office until 2027, now faces the prospect of having to work with a coalition or technocratic government — and a prime minister — of a different political ilk, likely from the left-wing NFF. This The government is about to change FranceIt is difficult to pass legislation and reforms.

Not Did you know? Macron’s high-stakes gamble with the snap poll not pay off, Analysts note that the French The head of state’s political reputation and legacy has been damaged EuropeHe has been seeking a leadership position in the.

“In terms of his legacy, he will be in for a real political fight,” Tina FordhamFounder of Fordham Global ForesightCNBC Monday.

“Macron remains the towering figure and kingmaker. It will be him who chooses the prime minister, it’ll be Macron that travels to Washington for the 75th NATO summit this week, but those who are suggesting that his gamble paid off [are wrong],” Fordham CNBC’s Squawk Box Europe.

“Yes, he was able to keep the far right from first place but they’ve increased their seat share — and now he has to deal with this unruly left and this unruly right,” She added.

“I’m afraid it probably does [weaken him on a global stage] at a time which is unfortunate for the cohesion of the European Union,” She added.

Macron The EU leader was a man who looked like he could be the leader

Since Taking office in 2017, after the departure from his former boss,Socialist President Francois Hollande, Macron He has attempted to position himself in the middle of everything Europe’s political decision-making — particularly since the departure of the European Union’s most central leader, former German Chancellor Angela Merkel in 2021.

Macron Has pushed for closer economic and social integration in the EU by promoting European Sovereignty, economic security, and competitiveness as well as pushing towards a more autonomous and integrated European Defense Strategy advocates for a “true, European army.”

He’s The creator of the European Political Community, which brings together leaders from all 50 states of the region to discuss challenges shared and to coordinate responses. Macron Has also been a staunch advocate of UkrainePressuring a more reluctant person Germany — and on fellow NATO members — when it came to the supply of Western Weapons Kyiv For it to fight against Russia.

He Even pitched the possibility of French troops helping on the groundAlthough controversial, the pledges made by other allies were exceeded.

French President Emmanuel Macron Then, and then Ukrainian The same applies to Volodymyr Zelenskyy After signing a contract, what should you do? February The 16th of 2024 is at the Elysee Palace You can also find out more about the following: Paris, France. 

Pool | Via Reuters

Only Time will tell. France’s Political make-up is expected to be decided in the coming months. But the country could experience weeks or even months of political wrangling as the left-wing faction tries to appoint one of its politicians as Prime Minister.

Although The decision is yours Macron’s Hands, he will likely be under pressure to choose a PM who is from the left-wing block, as it won the most seats at the election. He You may even be pressed to vote Hollande, who was a candidate for the NFP.

For now, Macron He has rejected his current Prime Minister Gabriel Attal’s Resignation and on Monday He was asked to remain in his post “to ensure the country’s stability.”

Political Instabilities can be a problem for many people. FranceThe eurozone’s second largest economy after GermanyIt is not a good moment in the global politics cycle. Ludovic SubranChief economist at AllianzCNBC reported that. Monday. Subran It was important to stress that Macron The future Prime Minister was a close ally.

“France is not that weak now, but it is not very good because we are in a state-craft situation with the U.S. and China and imagine what could happen in November if [Republican presidential candidate Donald] Trump gets re-elected — we’re going to be tested and tested again and again,” Subran Tell CNBC’s Charlotte Reed You can also find out more about the following: Paris.

“I think it’s going to be really important that Macron secures the alignment with his prime minister before he says anything in Brussels or Strasbourg, Subran said. “He’ll have to make sure there’s a paper-thin divide between he and his prime minister when it comes to international issues like Russia, trade, industrial policies and working toward more flexible fiscal policies for France and for the other member countries in Europe.”

When It comes to Macron’s Position in Europe, Subran It was said that it would now “be hard for him to lecture and to sow the seeds of grand projects for Europe when he’s going to be weak domestically.”

“If [National Rally figurehead Marine] Le Pen races to power in 2027, it’s going to be a very tainted legacy,” He added.

Mixed The Legacy of the Founders

While Macron He is likely to receive praise from some quarters because of his pro-European, pro-business and pro-trade approach in office, his legacy at home may be more mixed after this snap election — a decision seen by many as a strategic miscalculation, brought about by Macron’s perceived lack of understanding of voter sentiment and, some say, his perceived arrogance.

It’s A criticism he has often received, as well accusations that he doesn’t understand the daily concerns of many French Citizens, especially those who live outside of the major urban centers.

Mass Protest movements like the “Yellow Vest” In 2018, the actions that were taken were largely driven by anger from large segments of society at the rising costs of fuel, living, and economic inequality as well as what they perceived was an out-of -touch and elitist establishment.

A police car sprays water cannons at protesters in an anti-government demo Paris The following are some of the most effective ways to improve your own effectiveness. January 26, 2019.

NurPhoto| NurPhoto | Getty Images

The The rise of the Far-Right National Rally It is also indicative of voter concerns – rightly or incorrectly – over immigration and the erosion of what many supporters perceive as American values. French Identity and culture

His decision in June To call an election in a hurry after his centrist Renaissance The party was beaten in the European Parliament Elections were widely viewed as a high-stakes bet. It Hasn’t paid back, and France’s Uncertain political outlook may cause concern France’s European Partnering together is a great idea French Political scientist tells CNBC

“Imagine the EU and international partners and allies of France. What must they think of that [decision to call a snap election]?” Philippe Marlière, professor of French The following are some examples of how to get started: European Politics University College LondonThe final round of voting will take place on Sunday.

“They must think, ‘what an amateur. What a mistake. What a mess.’ And it is a mess, which is now affecting us all. Because if France isn’t able to be a reliable partner in the EU when it comes to big issues of the world … people will not forget that it was Macron who created the situation in the first place.”

French President Emmanuel Macron Reviews troops that will participate in the Bastille Day parade, July 2 2024 Paris, France. 

Aurelien Morissard | Via Reuters

He CNBC has reported that the company, in FranceMost people thought that Macron Had, in plain EnglishThe political situation in the country is a mess.

“Everyone in France today, absolutely everyone — I’m yet to hear or meet someone who says it was a great idea — everyone says it’s a major cock-up. It was an unnecessary gamble which badly, very badly, backfired. He didn’t have an absolute majority before the dissolution [of parliament, the National Assembly] but his party was the main party in the National Assembly … so why did he have to dissolve parliament? Only he knows why he did that.”

“On a scale of political blunders. I would probably give it a 10 out of 10,” Marlière said.

Source link